Who will be the adopters of 3G mobile computing devices? A probit estimation of mobile telecom diffusion

Jonathan Wareham, Armando Levy

Research output: Indexed journal article Articlepeer-review

17 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

We characterize the role of the diffusion of information in the demand (adoption) of mobile telephones in the United States. Different strategies for identification of the parameters of the diffusion process are discussed. Using survey data from 1994 and 1998 and a probit model of mobile phone adoption, we estimate the rate of diffusion and bounds for the long-run market shares for specific socioeconomic market segments. Implications for the diffusion of 3G mobile computing devices are explored.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)161-174
Number of pages14
JournalJournal of Organizational Computing and Electronic Commerce
Volume12
Issue number2
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2002
Externally publishedYes

Keywords

  • 3G mobile computing
  • Diffusion
  • Statistical analysis
  • Telecommunications

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