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Round numbers as goals: Evidence from baseball, SAT takers, and the lab

  • Devin Pope
  • , U. Simonsohn*
  • *Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Indexed journal article Articlepeer-review

137 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

Where do people's reference points come from? We conjectured that round numbers in performance scales act as reference points and that individuals exert effort to perform just above rather than just below such numbers. In Study 1, we found that professional baseball players modify their behavior as the season is about to end, seeking to finish with a batting average just above rather than below. 300. In Study 2, we found that high school students are more likely to retake the SAT after obtaining a score just below rather than above a round number. In Study 3, we conducted an experiment employing hypothetical scenarios and found that participants reported a greater desire to exert more effort when their performance was just short of rather than just above a round number.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)71-79
Number of pages9
JournalPsychological Science
Volume22
Issue number1
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Jan 2011
Externally publishedYes

Keywords

  • decision making
  • goals
  • judgment
  • reference points

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