A practical approach for quantifying country risk

Jaime Sabal Cárdenas

A practical approach for quantifying country risk

Jaime Sabal Cárdenas

Research output: Not indexed journal article › Article

Abstract

In most emerging market valuations a country risk premium is added to the CAPM discount rate of an equivalent investment in a developed market. However, this is not only a flawed procedure but also it is extremely difficult to gauge how country risk might affect the discount rate. In this paper a practical method is proposed to appraise country risk mainly through its impact on projected cash flows, leaving its possible effect on the discount rate as a secondary consideration.

Original language	English
Pages	50-63
Specialist publication	GCG: Revista de Globalización, Competitividad y Gobernabilidad = GCG: Journal of Globalization, Competitiveness and Governability = GCG: Revista de Globalização, Competitividade e Governabilidade
Publication status	Published - 1 Dec 2008

Cite this

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title = "A practical approach for quantifying country risk",

abstract = "In most emerging market valuations a country risk premium is added to the CAPM discount rate of an equivalent investment in a developed market. However, this is not only a flawed procedure but also it is extremely difficult to gauge how country risk might affect the discount rate. In this paper a practical method is proposed to appraise country risk mainly through its impact on projected cash flows, leaving its possible effect on the discount rate as a secondary consideration.",

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issn = "1988-7116",

publisher = "Georgetown University",

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N2 - In most emerging market valuations a country risk premium is added to the CAPM discount rate of an equivalent investment in a developed market. However, this is not only a flawed procedure but also it is extremely difficult to gauge how country risk might affect the discount rate. In this paper a practical method is proposed to appraise country risk mainly through its impact on projected cash flows, leaving its possible effect on the discount rate as a secondary consideration.

AB - In most emerging market valuations a country risk premium is added to the CAPM discount rate of an equivalent investment in a developed market. However, this is not only a flawed procedure but also it is extremely difficult to gauge how country risk might affect the discount rate. In this paper a practical method is proposed to appraise country risk mainly through its impact on projected cash flows, leaving its possible effect on the discount rate as a secondary consideration.

M3 - Article

SN - 1988-7116

SP - 50

EP - 63

JO - GCG: Revista de Globalización, Competitividad y Gobernabilidad = GCG: Journal of Globalization, Competitiveness and Governability = GCG: Revista de Globalização, Competitividade e Governabilidade

JF - GCG: Revista de Globalización, Competitividad y Gobernabilidad = GCG: Journal of Globalization, Competitiveness and Governability = GCG: Revista de Globalização, Competitividade e Governabilidade

ER -

A practical approach for quantifying country risk

Abstract

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