TY - JOUR
T1 - Calibrating structural models
T2 - A new methodology based on stock and credit default swap data
AU - Forte Arcos, S.
N1 - Funding Information:
This paper was partially drafted during my visit to the Department of Finance at Tilburg University. I acknowledge financial support from Banco Sabadell and MEC Grants Refs AP2000-1327 and BEC2002-0279. I thank Juan Ignacio Peña, Philippe Gagnepain, Hao Wang, Bas Werker, Max Bruche, Carmen Ansotegui, Lidija Lovreta, and three anonymous referees for helpful suggestions. I also acknowledge comments from seminar audiences at Universidad Carlos III de Madrid, Banco de España, ESADE Business School, XIII Foro de Finanzas, C.R.E.D.I.T. 2005 Conference, EFMA Conference 2006, and FMA European Conference 2007. I am also grateful to Banco Santander for allowing access to their data on CDS spreads. The usual disclaimers apply.
PY - 2011/12
Y1 - 2011/12
N2 - This paper presents a modified version of Leland and Toft's [J. Finance, 1996, 51, 987-1019] structural credit risk model, together with a novel calibration methodology based on stock and CDS data: the firm asset value and volatility are consistently derived from equity prices; the default barrier is calibrated from CDS premia. It empirically shows that as long as the appropriate default barrier is selected, the model generates time series of stock market implied credit spreads that fit the times series of CDS spreads. Moreover, CDS implied default barriers prove to be consistent with stockholders' rationality, with predictions made by structural models with endogenous default, and with historical recovery rates.
AB - This paper presents a modified version of Leland and Toft's [J. Finance, 1996, 51, 987-1019] structural credit risk model, together with a novel calibration methodology based on stock and CDS data: the firm asset value and volatility are consistently derived from equity prices; the default barrier is calibrated from CDS premia. It empirically shows that as long as the appropriate default barrier is selected, the model generates time series of stock market implied credit spreads that fit the times series of CDS spreads. Moreover, CDS implied default barriers prove to be consistent with stockholders' rationality, with predictions made by structural models with endogenous default, and with historical recovery rates.
KW - Calibration
KW - Default barrier
KW - Structural credit risk models
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=84859260882&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1080/14697688.2010.550308
DO - 10.1080/14697688.2010.550308
M3 - Article
AN - SCOPUS:84859260882
SN - 1469-7688
VL - 11
SP - 1745
EP - 1759
JO - Quantitative Finance
JF - Quantitative Finance
IS - 12
ER -